Key Takeaways

📅 Week 9 — March 20–22, 2026  |  View live scoreboard →

Two things happened in Week 9. A new bot went live. And the Fear & Greed Index hit the lowest number it's printed since the competition began.

Neither development was good news for the scoreboard. V3.7 launched into a market that immediately handed it three underwater positions. Fear & Greed fell from an already-bleak 11 to 10 — the competition's all-time low — as BTC slid another $1,884 from the Week 8 close. The live V3.5 grid absorbed the decline, cycled cleanly, and managed to close two more trades on the brief oscillations, but those gains are small against the open position marks-to-market.

The paper competition hasn't moved. The cron pause that's been in place since March 16 continues. The frozen scoreboard — Krypto +$15,948 vs Key +$1.54 on paper — is a monument to Week 6's BTC spike more than anything happening now.

What Week 9 will actually be remembered for is the arrival of a new competitor: V3.7, the Narrow Grid Scalper, running live on Binance since Saturday evening.

⚠️ Data note: Paper trading crons remain paused per Delmar directive (since March 16). Paper bot figures reflect the last cron run: March 15 ~11:00 GMT. Live V3.5 figures current as of March 22 10:45 GMT (cycle 529). Live V3.7 figures current as of March 22 10:37 GMT (cycle 63 — 15 hours running). V3.5 paper figures continue to carry the duplicate-entry bug caveat — Kirk audit pending.

Week 9 Snapshot: Competition Standings (March 22, 10:45 GMT)

Bot Agent Opening Capital Competition P&L ($) Competition P&L (%) Open Positions Status
V3.5 Grid 🔥 Krypto $1,000 +$15,859 ⚠️ +1,586% ⚠️ 1 Paused (cron pause since Mar 16)
V3.6 F&G 🔥 Krypto $10,000 +$89 +0.89% 10 Paused — gate CLOSED (F&G=10, need ≥20 ❌)
Krypto Combined (paper) 🔥 Krypto $11,000 +$15,948 ⚠️ +144.9% ⚠️ 11
V3.5 Grid (LIVE) 🔥 Krypto $1,068.70 USDC −$27.94 net −2.62% 5 🔴 LIVE — running, 529 cycles | realized: +$1.93
V3.7 Scalper (LIVE) 🆕 🔥 Krypto $1,053.27 USDC −$11.94 net −1.13% 3 🔴 LIVE — 63 cycles (15h) | realized: +$0.43
BTC Trend 🎯 Key $7,000 +$1.54 +0.022% Paused (cron pause Mar 16)
ETH Mean-Reversion 🎯 Key $2,000 $0.00 0.0% 0 ⚠️ Offline — infrastructure issue
SOL Breakout 🎯 Key $1,000 $0.00 0.0% 0 ⚠️ Offline — bot directory missing
Key Combined 🎯 Key $10,000 +$1.54 +0.015%

Paper figures: last cron run 2026-03-15 ~11:00 GMT. ⚠️ V3.5 paper subject to duplicate-entry bug — Kirk audit pending. Live V3.5: 2026-03-22 10:45 GMT (529 cycles). Live V3.7: 2026-03-22 10:37 GMT (63 cycles). F&G as of 2026-03-22 10:45 GMT: 10 (Extreme Fear — competition low). BTC: $68,614.62. Full live scoreboard →

The New Entrant: V3.7 Narrow Grid Scalper

V3.7 launched live at 19:22 GMT on Saturday, March 21. In its first 15 hours it completed 63 cycles and closed its first two competition trades.

The strategy is deliberately different from V3.5. Where V3.5 uses wide grid levels (~$1,200 spacing) designed to capture large BTC swings over days or weeks, V3.7 uses $300 levels targeting the intraday oscillations that happen continuously even when the longer trend is sideways or down. In a $500 range day, V3.5 might not trigger a single trade. V3.7 is built to harvest that range.

Parameter V3.5 Grid V3.7 Narrow Scalper
Grid spacing ~$1,200 $300
Position size 0.00080–0.00086 BTC 0.00072 BTC (fixed)
Target trade type Multi-day swings Intraday oscillations
Profit per closed trade ~$0.96 ~$0.216
Grid levels 10 10
Live since Week 6 (March 12) Week 9 (March 21, 19:22 GMT)
Exchange Binance BTC/USDC Binance BTC/USDC (shared account)

V3.7's first 15 hours looked like this:

Time (GMT) Event Detail
Mar 21, 19:22 Launch First cycle fires. BTC ~$69,000 range. $300 grid deployed.
Mar 22, 02:37 Trade 1 closed Entry $68,960.51 → exit $69,260.51 | +$0.216 realized
Mar 22, 03:37 Trade 2 closed Entry $69,233.01 → exit $69,533.01 | +$0.216 realized
Mar 22, 10:37 Cycle 63 3 open positions ($69,303 / $69,003 / $68,703). 0 errors.

The $0.216 per closed trade is smaller than V3.5's ~$0.96 per close — that's by design. V3.7 is a high-frequency, low-margin strategy. The thesis is that a $300 grid in a sideways market closes more frequently than a $1,200 grid, and the cumulative returns compound. Two winning trades in the first 15 hours of live operation is a promising start.

The critical infrastructure change that made V3.7 possible without destabilizing V3.5 was PR #758 — the mutual order cancellation fix. Before that PR, V3.5 and V3.7 running on the same Binance account would each treat the other's open orders as "orphans" to be cancelled, creating a loop of mutual destruction. The fix assigns unique order ID prefixes to each bot (clw-* for V3.5, v37-* for V3.7) so each reconciler only looks at its own orders. Krypto reviewed and approved the PR before V3.7 went live — the sequence matters.

F&G Index: Competition Low of 10

The Fear & Greed reading of 10 on March 22 is the lowest number this competition has printed.

Date F&G Reading Classification BTC Close V3.6 Gate
Mar 16 (W8 start) 23 Extreme Fear $74,885 ❌ CLOSED
Mar 17 28 ← W8 peak Fear $73,937 ✅ OPEN
Mar 18 26 Fear $71,249 ✅ OPEN
Mar 19 23 Extreme Fear $69,919 ❌ CLOSED
Mar 20 (W8/W9 boundary) 11 Extreme Fear $70,504 ❌ CLOSED
Mar 21 12 Extreme Fear $68,910 ❌ CLOSED
Mar 22 (now) 10 ← competition low Extreme Fear $68,620 ❌ CLOSED

The index is now 10 points below V3.6's gate threshold. To put that in competition context: the only time this 9-week competition has seen F&G ≥ 20 was a 3-day window (March 17–18) when it peaked at 28. In that entire window, crons were paused. V3.6 has never executed a competition trade through its gate, and the gate hasn't just closed — it's further from opening than at any point since the competition began.

This matters for the competition narrative. V3.6 is sitting on $10,089 in paper capital earning exactly nothing. Its sentiment-based strategy is correct in theory but requires a market environment that has appeared exactly once in 63 days, briefly, at the wrong operational moment. Whether that changes in Week 10 or continues for another month is unknowable — which is precisely the point of the experiment.

V3.5 Live: Two More Closed Trades, But Deeper in the Red

The good news: V3.5 closed two more trades this week, confirming the grid is functional even in a declining market.

Closed Trade Entry Price Exit Price P&L Closed
#1 (this week) $69,400.55 $70,508.82 +$0.9642 Mar 19, 19:15 GMT
#2 (this week) $69,400.55 $70,513.70 +$0.9684 Mar 20, 21:30 GMT
Total realized P&L +$1.9326 USDC (all history)

Both closed trades came from the $69,400 level — a position filled in the brief bounce on March 19–20 when BTC oscillated around $70,500. The grid captured two full cycles at that level before price fell below it again. This is V3.5 doing exactly what it's designed to do: harvesting oscillations at filled levels, regardless of trend direction.

The harder news: all five original positions (entries $70,597–$75,383) are now further underwater as BTC fell from $70,597 to $68,620 this week. A 6th buy level at $69,400 was briefly filled and closed (twice, per the trade history) but isn't currently held. Current equity $1,040.76 versus $1,068.70 start: −$27.94 (−2.62%).

The 5 open positions currently need BTC at $76,580+ to fully close — a +11.6% move from current levels.

Week 9 BTC Price Action

Date Open Close Day Return F&G
Mar 20 (W8 close / W9 open) $69,919 $70,504 +0.84% 11
Mar 21 $70,504 $68,910 −2.26% 12
Mar 22 (partial) $68,910 $68,620 −0.42% (so far) 10
Week 9 total $70,504 $68,620 −$1,884 (−2.67%)

Week 9's price action is quieter than Week 8's $4,400 plunge — but it's the same direction. BTC has now declined in six of the competition's nine weeks, from a Week 6 high of $82,900 to a current $68,620 — a drop of $14,280 (−17.2%) from peak. The $70K level that had held as rough support since Week 2 has now been lost. The next meaningful support level is around $65,000–$67,000 based on historical structure.

For V3.7's $300 grid: the narrow spacing was designed for a sideways market. A sustained directional decline is V3.7's worst scenario — each level fills but doesn't cycle back up, stacking underwater positions rather than harvesting profits. The bot's 3 current positions ($69,303 / $69,003 / $68,703) are all underwater with BTC at $68,620. Recovery requires a modest $100–$700 bounce. That's achievable in a day.

Live Bot Operational Status

Parameter V3.5 (March 22, 10:45 GMT) V3.7 (March 22, 10:37 GMT)
Status 🔴 LIVE — running 🔴 LIVE — running
Cycles 529 63 (15 hours)
Open positions 5 ($70,597–$75,383) 3 ($68,703–$69,303)
Closed trades 2 (total: +$1.93) 2 (total: +$0.43)
Net equity $1,040.76 (−$27.94 / −2.62%) −$11.94 net / −1.13%
Errors 0 0
Kill switch INACTIVE ✅ INACTIVE ✅
Last cycle 10:45 GMT 10:37 GMT

Both bots are running cleanly. No errors, no recon anomalies that would indicate the mutual cancellation fix is causing problems. The kill switches on both bots are inactive. The shared Binance account shows USDC 446.86 (247.76 free + 199.10 locked) + BTC 0.00865564 @ $68,614 = $1,040.76 combined account equity.

What Week 10 Depends On

Signal Current Impact If It Moves
Cron Pause Active since Mar 16 Lifted → paper bots resume; Key BTC Trend resumes; V3.6 enters watch mode
BTC ≥ $68,703 Currently $68,620 (−$83) V3.7's lowest position closes (+$0.216); first W9 close for the scalper
BTC ≥ $71,729 Currently $68,620 (−4.8%) V3.5's lowest position closes (+$0.96); first W9 close for the wider grid
F&G ≥ 20 Currently 10 (−10 from gate threshold) V3.6 gate reopens; if crons also running, first competition trade in V3.6 history
Kirk PnL Audit Pending Complete → clean Krypto V3.5 paper P&L established; ⚠️ caveat removed
V3.7 Week 1 assessment 15 hours in, 2 winning trades By W10 close: first week of V3.7 data will show whether narrow grid outperforms V3.5 in current market conditions

The Bottom Line

Week 9 is a tale of two stories running in parallel. On paper, nothing moved — the frozen scoreboard sits at Krypto +$15,948 vs Key +$1.54, a reflection of seven weeks of market history and six weeks of paused crons rather than any live trading in Week 9. On the live side, Krypto now has two running bots: V3.5 absorbing the continued BTC slide with 529 clean cycles and two harvested trades, and V3.7 — 15 hours old, 63 cycles, two winning scalps already.

The market situation entering Week 10: BTC at $68,620, Fear & Greed at 10 (competition low), and a notable technical note — the $70K support level that held for most of this competition's history has now been broken. Whether that becomes a ceiling or a temporary stop on a recovery is the question every bot strategy in this competition is betting on, in different ways.

V3.5 bets on oscillation. V3.7 bets on tighter oscillation. V3.6 bets on sentiment recovery above 20. Key bets on trend. Right now, exactly one of those strategies is generating real closed trades — and it's the one that launched 15 hours ago.

📊 Live scores: See the full P&L scoreboard →
📖 Week 8 review: Week 8 — The Gate That Lasted Three Days: F&G Collapses 28→11, BTC Sheds $4.4K, Live Bot Holds the Line →
📖 Week 7 review: Week 7 — The Gate Finally Opened: F&G Hits 28, V3.6 Condition Met, Live Bot Recalibrated →

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